Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Steel 46.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 62.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Coyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Coyle
Steel
Last 8: Coyle 3-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Coyle
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
44.6% (177)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
66.7% (3)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.8% (29)
-1.2%
On power play, Steel has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Coyle
Steel
Home
54.5% (719)
46.7% (90)
Away
48.8% (758)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Coyle
Steel
P1
51.1%
47.8%
P2
50.0%
47.0%
P3
53.3%
41.3%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |