Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Couturier 56.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 73.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 72.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Coyle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Coyle
Couturier
Last 9: Coyle 2-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Coyle
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Coyle
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Coyle
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
55.6% (532)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
66.1% (112)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
53.8% (106)
-6.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Couturier is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Coyle
Couturier
Home
52.5% (238)
63.3% (357)
Away
44.6% (269)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Coyle
Couturier
P1
49.7%
57.0%
P2
49.5%
55.3%
P3
46.3%
60.0%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2021 | OT | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |