Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Coyle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Couturier
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Coyle
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
53.4% (758)
-1.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
62.9% (70)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
50.7% (227)
-5.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Coyle
Couturier
Home
49.0% (537)
50.7% (517)
Away
52.1% (516)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Coyle
Couturier
P1
48.7%
55.2%
P2
49.6%
53.0%
P3
53.1%
53.3%
OT
45.5%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |