Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Couturier 55.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 75.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Coyle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Coyle
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Coyle
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Coyle
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
55.1% (1,008)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
64.1% (142)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
53.3% (45)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Coyle
Couturier
Home
47.4% (409)
58.1% (609)
Away
50.0% (360)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Coyle
Couturier
P1
50.8%
55.3%
P2
46.0%
55.8%
P3
48.4%
57.4%
OT
64.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |