Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.7%). Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Coyle
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
21
(37 meetings)
16
21
Coyle
Johnson
Last 10: Coyle 9-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
11
Coyle
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
12
6
Coyle
Johnson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Coyle
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
54.6% (885)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
42.3% (707)
+1.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johnson
Home
49.8% (4,835)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Coyle
Johnson
P1
49.4%
50.1%
P2
48.3%
50.6%
P3
48.8%
48.4%
OT
49.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 20, 2018 | OT | 03:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |