Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Johnson 50.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Coyle
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
47.4% (78)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
57.6% (33)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
100.0% (2)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Coyle
Johnson
Home
53.3% (512)
50.9% (57)
Away
51.9% (507)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Coyle
Johnson
P1
53.8%
44.1%
P2
47.8%
59.4%
P3
56.7%
52.3%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |