Charlie Coyle vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 50.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 55.4%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Coyle
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Coyle
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
43.2% (146)
+9.1%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
50.0% (2)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
44.8% (29)
+0.0%
On even strength, Coyle has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Coyle
Girgensons
Home
49.0% (537)
40.3% (72)
Away
52.1% (516)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Coyle
Girgensons
P1
48.7%
43.8%
P2
49.6%
44.6%
P3
53.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |