Charlie Coyle vs Zemgus Girgensons

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Charlie Coyle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Coyle 48.8% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor Coyle leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Coyle 72.1%
Defensive zone Coyle 57.4%
Neutral zone Coyle 64.7%
Result Charlie Coyle favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Coyle Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 6 (16 meetings)
10
6
Coyle Girgensons
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Girgensons

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle Girgensons
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
4
Coyle Girgensons
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle Girgensons
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Coyle
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
45.4% (2,700)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
49.1% (175)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
42.2% (481)
+1.4%
On even strength, Coyle has a +4.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Coyle
Girgensons
Home
49.8% (4,835)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Coyle
Girgensons
P1
49.4%
45.7%
P2
48.3%
44.1%
P3
48.8%
45.5%
OT
49.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%
51.0%
48.8%
Girgensons
58.0%
44.0%
45.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 10, 2026 2 08:34 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons
Jan 14, 2025 2 07:55 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Nov 14, 2023 3 08:26 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons
Mar 2, 2023 2 06:38 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Apr 28, 2022 2 15:49 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Apr 28, 2022 2 15:40 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Apr 28, 2022 2 15:27 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 24, 2021 3 01:05 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons
Nov 24, 2021 3 01:02 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 24, 2021 1 15:30 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Jan 15, 2015 3 18:27 Neutral Zemgus Girgensons
Jan 15, 2015 3 04:26 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Jan 15, 2015 2 10:49 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Jan 15, 2015 1 10:22 Defensive Zemgus Girgensons
Jan 15, 2015 1 07:42 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 13, 2014 1 07:57 Offensive Charlie Coyle