Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Read 43.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 79.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 85.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Kelly
Read
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Kelly
Read
Last 10: Kelly 9-1 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Read
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Read
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Read
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Read
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
43.0% (244)
+8.3%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
36.4% (33)
+32.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
34.8% (66)
+15.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Read is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Kelly
Read
Home
52.3% (388)
43.4% (166)
Away
51.3% (421)
38.9% (180)
By Period
Kelly
Read
P1
50.0%
41.2%
P2
51.7%
43.1%
P3
53.0%
38.1%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |