Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 47.8% vs Larkin 54.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kreider 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kreider 67.8%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kreider
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kreider
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Kreider
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (70)
53.6% (886)
-6.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
59.3% (317)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
48.7% (152)
-8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kreider is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Kreider shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Kreider
Larkin
Home
40.5% (42)
56.6% (700)
Away
50.0% (42)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Kreider
Larkin
P1
44.8%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
45.5%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
63.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
45.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |