Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 30.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.4% vs Larkin 55.0% (-18.9%)
Offensive zone
Kreider 60.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Kreider
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (83)
55.9% (943)
-17.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.4% (244)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
46.2% (106)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kreider is 30.2% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Kreider shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Kreider
Larkin
Home
34.7% (49)
56.0% (654)
Away
38.3% (47)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Kreider
Larkin
P1
32.6%
54.4%
P2
34.5%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
36.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%