Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Tierney 51.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 67.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 50.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 55.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Cizikas
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Tierney
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
4
Cizikas
Tierney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Tierney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
51.2% (767)
+4.0%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
50.7% (73)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
51.1% (178)
-2.1%
On power play, Tierney has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tierney
Home
55.5% (353)
48.6% (552)
Away
51.3% (335)
54.3% (466)
By Period
Cizikas
Tierney
P1
53.4%
51.3%
P2
51.4%
46.5%
P3
55.8%
55.3%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |