Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Megna 51.7% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 52.5%
Defensive zone
Megna 53.5%
Neutral zone
Megna 50.3%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Tierney
Megna
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
53.8% (251)
-7.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
42.3% (26)
+5.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Tierney
Megna
Home
47.9% (121)
50.4% (135)
Away
46.1% (115)
54.2% (144)
By Period
Tierney
Megna
P1
44.1%
60.9%
P2
50.0%
51.2%
P3
46.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%