Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.0%). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Megna 49.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 71.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 68.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Tierney
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tierney
Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Megna
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Megna
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
49.1% (401)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
50.0% (4)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.6% (42)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Tierney
Megna
Home
50.6% (3,270)
49.3% (227)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.6% (220)
By Period
Tierney
Megna
P1
49.3%
51.7%
P2
47.7%
49.3%
P3
50.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |