Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 40-32 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 59.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 83.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 72.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Tierney
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
40
(72 meetings)
32
40
Tierney
Tavares
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
18
Tierney
Tavares
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
13
6
Tierney
Tavares
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
16
Tierney
Tavares
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
56.5% (4,283)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
50.6% (620)
-4.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Tierney
Tavares
Home
50.6% (3,270)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Tierney
Tavares
P1
49.3%
55.0%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
50.5%
54.1%
OT
47.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |