Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Tavares 58.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 67.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Tierney
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tierney
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Tierney
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.0% (310)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
42.9% (7)
+21.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Tierney
Tavares
Home
62.3% (77)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.8% (117)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Tierney
Tavares
P1
61.1%
58.0%
P2
60.0%
60.1%
P3
49.1%
61.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |