Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 72.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Tierney
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Tierney
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
57.5% (914)
-10.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.5% (309)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
59.1% (22)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Tierney
Tavares
Home
47.9% (121)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.1% (115)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Tierney
Tavares
P1
44.1%
58.6%
P2
50.0%
57.8%
P3
46.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |