Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Toews 54.6% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 66.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Tierney
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tierney
Toews
Last 8: Tierney 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Tierney
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Tierney
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
54.8% (1,153)
-5.6%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.8% (233)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (130)
50.0% (166)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toews
Home
50.7% (420)
58.7% (784)
Away
46.3% (406)
51.0% (768)
By Period
Tierney
Toews
P1
45.2%
54.0%
P2
50.0%
57.4%
P3
50.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |