Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Toews 58.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 72.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Tierney
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tierney
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Tierney
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Tierney
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Tierney
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
58.0% (901)
-7.6%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
69.5% (226)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
51.7% (209)
-14.9%
On power play, Toews has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toews
Home
53.3% (289)
59.3% (637)
Away
45.5% (242)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Tierney
Toews
P1
50.9%
61.5%
P2
46.7%
55.2%
P3
52.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |