Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Toews 61.9% (-16.1%)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 51.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Tierney
Toews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
61.1% (650)
-14.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.9% (192)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
59.6% (99)
-12.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toews
Home
47.9% (121)
64.8% (560)
Away
46.1% (115)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Tierney
Toews
P1
44.1%
62.3%
P2
50.0%
63.9%
P3
46.3%
62.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%