Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Toews 56.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 65.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 87.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 70.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Tierney
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tierney
Toews
Last 7: Tierney 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Tierney
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Tierney
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
55.9% (1,014)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
62.8% (301)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
55.9% (179)
-4.8%
On power play, Toews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Tierney
Toews
Home
48.6% (552)
56.6% (709)
Away
54.3% (466)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Tierney
Toews
P1
51.3%
60.4%
P2
46.5%
57.6%
P3
55.3%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
59.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |