Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Bailey 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 59.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Tierney
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
Bailey
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Tierney
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
50.8% (189)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
52.8% (53)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
28.6% (14)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bailey
Home
48.6% (552)
55.2% (145)
Away
54.3% (466)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Tierney
Bailey
P1
51.3%
42.4%
P2
46.5%
52.2%
P3
55.3%
56.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |