Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Bailey 44.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 72.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 53.8%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Tierney
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Tierney
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
39.8% (83)
+10.6%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
27.3% (22)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
80.0% (5)
-43.2%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bailey
Home
53.3% (289)
33.3% (48)
Away
45.5% (242)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Tierney
Bailey
P1
50.9%
33.3%
P2
46.7%
47.2%
P3
52.1%
39.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |