Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Bailey 45.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 59.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 85.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 76.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Tierney
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tierney
Bailey
Last 8: Tierney 5-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Bailey
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Tierney
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
45.8% (1,991)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
48.1% (295)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
39.9% (281)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bailey
Home
50.6% (3,270)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Tierney
Bailey
P1
49.3%
46.5%
P2
47.7%
44.8%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
OT
47.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |