Chris Tierney vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 51.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 67.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Tierney
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
44.7% (1,053)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
36.8% (95)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
65.0% (20)
-17.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacKinnon
Home
47.9% (121)
49.4% (553)
Away
46.1% (115)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Tierney
MacKinnon
P1
44.1%
45.3%
P2
50.0%
42.7%
P3
46.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |