Chris Tierney vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 57.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Tierney
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
19
(41 meetings)
22
19
Tierney
MacKinnon
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
9
Tierney
MacKinnon
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
9
4
Tierney
MacKinnon
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
6
Tierney
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
42.8% (502)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacKinnon
Home
50.6% (3,270)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Tierney
MacKinnon
P1
49.3%
47.4%
P2
47.7%
46.6%
P3
50.5%
46.1%
OT
47.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |