Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 61.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 54.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Tierney
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tierney
Stamkos
Last 6: Tierney 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Tierney
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Tierney
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
49.3% (789)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
56.9% (181)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
54.1% (98)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stamkos
Home
53.3% (289)
52.0% (512)
Away
45.5% (242)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Tierney
Stamkos
P1
50.9%
42.1%
P2
46.7%
56.4%
P3
52.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |