Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Johnson 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 71.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 66.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Tierney
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Tierney
Johnson
Last 7: Tierney 2-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Tierney
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Tierney
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
49.4% (399)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
52.9% (34)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
37.5% (40)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tierney is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Tierney shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johnson
Home
51.2% (521)
49.8% (229)
Away
50.6% (522)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Tierney
Johnson
P1
49.3%
45.0%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
53.4%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |