Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 63.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 53.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Tierney
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Tierney
Johnson
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
6
Tierney
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
6
Tierney
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
4
Tierney
Johnson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
54.6% (885)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
42.3% (707)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johnson
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Tierney
Johnson
P1
49.3%
50.1%
P2
47.7%
50.6%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
47.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |