Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Johnson 50.7% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 79.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Tierney
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
47.4% (78)
-0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.6% (33)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
100.0% (2)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johnson
Home
47.9% (121)
50.9% (57)
Away
46.1% (115)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Tierney
Johnson
P1
44.1%
44.1%
P2
50.0%
59.4%
P3
46.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%