Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 29-17 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 77.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Tierney
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
29
(46 meetings)
17
29
Tierney
Seguin
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
11
Tierney
Seguin
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
3
Tierney
Seguin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
15
Tierney
Seguin
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
55.9% (810)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
49.3% (762)
-2.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Tierney
Seguin
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Tierney
Seguin
P1
49.3%
52.8%
P2
47.7%
53.3%
P3
50.5%
54.7%
OT
47.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |