Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Tierney
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tierney
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
56.5% (712)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
59.7% (67)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
44.9% (49)
-8.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Tierney
Seguin
Home
53.3% (289)
58.5% (402)
Away
45.5% (242)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Tierney
Seguin
P1
50.9%
58.4%
P2
46.7%
54.7%
P3
52.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |