Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 53.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tierney
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tierney
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Tierney
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
56.9% (478)
+0.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.4% (54)
-57.4%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
51.3% (76)
+13.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Tierney
Seguin
Home
62.3% (77)
57.4% (317)
Away
53.8% (117)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Tierney
Seguin
P1
61.1%
50.3%
P2
60.0%
60.4%
P3
49.1%
58.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |