Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Seguin 57.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 73.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 69.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 68.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tierney
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Tierney
Seguin
Last 10: Tierney 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Tierney
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
5
Tierney
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
59.6% (736)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
61.5% (65)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
47.6% (124)
+3.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Tierney
Seguin
Home
48.6% (552)
60.1% (461)
Away
54.3% (466)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Tierney
Seguin
P1
51.3%
59.1%
P2
46.5%
58.9%
P3
55.3%
57.3%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |