Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 87.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 58.6%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Wagner
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Wagner
Malkin
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
0
Wagner
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
4
Wagner
Malkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
45.6% (10,081)
+5.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
50.1% (668)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
32.2% (59)
+9.8%
On power play, Malkin has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Wagner
Malkin
Home
49.8% (817)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
47.9% (753)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Wagner
Malkin
P1
48.6%
45.9%
P2
48.6%
46.2%
P3
49.5%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |