Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Malkin 48.7% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.1%
Defensive zone
Wagner 73.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Wagner
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
47.9% (776)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Wagner
Malkin
Home
63.9% (36)
49.6% (405)
Away
50.0% (26)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Wagner
Malkin
P1
66.7%
49.6%
P2
37.5%
47.2%
P3
64.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
63.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%