Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Malkin 46.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 79.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Wagner
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Wagner
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Wagner
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
45.5% (602)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
100.0% (1)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Wagner
Malkin
Home
46.3% (54)
47.5% (326)
Away
42.6% (54)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Wagner
Malkin
P1
48.6%
49.3%
P2
55.9%
44.7%
P3
30.8%
42.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |