Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Hughes 36.6% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 53.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 95.9%
Neutral zone
Wagner 88.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Wagner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Wagner
Hughes
Last 9: Wagner 7-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Wagner
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
6
0
Wagner
Hughes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
36.0% (2,887)
+14.8%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
38.8% (224)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
31.0% (42)
+11.0%
On even strength, Wagner has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hughes
Home
49.8% (817)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
47.9% (753)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Wagner
Hughes
P1
48.6%
36.9%
P2
48.6%
33.6%
P3
49.5%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |