Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Hughes 39.2% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 81.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Wagner
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
37.9% (623)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
36.4% (11)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hughes
Home
46.3% (54)
36.6% (314)
Away
42.6% (54)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Wagner
Hughes
P1
48.6%
36.4%
P2
55.9%
35.6%
P3
30.8%
41.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%