Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Hughes 40.3% (+20.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.1%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Wagner
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
35.6% (281)
+25.8%
On even strength, Wagner has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hughes
Home
63.9% (36)
38.4% (198)
Away
50.0% (26)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Wagner
Hughes
P1
66.7%
44.3%
P2
37.5%
34.2%
P3
64.0%
34.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%