Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Hayes 51.7% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.2%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Wagner
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
51.6% (386)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
60.0% (20)
-8.4%
On even strength, Hayes has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hayes
Home
46.3% (54)
50.5% (200)
Away
42.6% (54)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Wagner
Hayes
P1
48.6%
58.8%
P2
55.9%
49.3%
P3
30.8%
48.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%