Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Hayes 47.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.0%
Defensive zone
Wagner 67.4%
Neutral zone
Wagner 51.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Wagner
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Wagner
Hayes
Last 10: Wagner 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
6
Wagner
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
6
0
Wagner
Hayes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
47.6% (6,698)
+3.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
51.7% (702)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
45.4% (696)
-3.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hayes
Home
49.8% (817)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Wagner
Hayes
P1
48.6%
47.5%
P2
48.6%
47.7%
P3
49.5%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |