Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 51.5%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Wagner
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
48.0% (1,413)
+2.8%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
45.7% (46)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.5% (184)
-1.5%
On power play, Lafferty has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Wagner
Lafferty
Home
49.8% (817)
47.3% (833)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Wagner
Lafferty
P1
48.6%
49.4%
P2
48.6%
43.1%
P3
49.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%