Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 51.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Wagner
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
47.9% (1,393)
+2.9%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
45.7% (46)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.5% (184)
-1.5%
On power play, Lafferty has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Lafferty is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Wagner
Lafferty
Home
49.8% (817)
47.0% (825)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.6% (798)
By Period
Wagner
Lafferty
P1
48.6%
49.3%
P2
48.6%
43.1%
P3
49.5%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%