Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+16.0%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 58.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Wagner
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
42.6% (324)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
On even strength, Wagner has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Wagner is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Wagner shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Wagner
Lafferty
Home
63.9% (36)
40.9% (181)
Away
50.0% (26)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Wagner
Lafferty
P1
66.7%
42.2%
P2
37.5%
36.4%
P3
64.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
63.2%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
42.1%