Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 52.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 68.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Wagner
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
50.7% (144)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
50.0% (10)
+1.6%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Wagner is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Wagner shoots right. Lafferty is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Wagner
Lafferty
Home
46.3% (54)
53.2% (62)
Away
42.6% (54)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Wagner
Lafferty
P1
48.6%
53.3%
P2
55.9%
46.7%
P3
30.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%