Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 67.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Wagner
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
55.9% (499)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Wagner is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Wagner shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Wagner
Stamkos
Home
63.9% (36)
55.3% (349)
Away
50.0% (26)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Wagner
Stamkos
P1
66.7%
57.0%
P2
37.5%
59.2%
P3
64.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
63.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%