Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 76.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Wagner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wagner
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
49.3% (670)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
33.3% (3)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Wagner is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Wagner shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Wagner
Stamkos
Home
46.3% (54)
54.0% (400)
Away
42.6% (54)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Wagner
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
48.6%
P2
55.9%
54.5%
P3
30.8%
45.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |