Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs Dvorak 51.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 55.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Jenner
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Dvorak
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Jenner
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
2
Jenner
Dvorak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
51.2% (943)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
51.6% (122)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (53)
52.7% (74)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Jenner is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Jenner shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dvorak
Home
53.6% (239)
53.9% (523)
Away
57.4% (244)
49.2% (616)
By Period
Jenner
Dvorak
P1
56.6%
56.7%
P2
56.6%
50.0%
P3
53.6%
46.7%
OT
40.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |