Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Lazar 49.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 80.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 51.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Dvorak
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dvorak
Lazar
Last 9: Dvorak 6-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Lazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Dvorak
Lazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.3% (232)
+4.4%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
0.0% (1)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
37.8% (45)
+19.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Lazar
Home
59.0% (432)
43.5% (131)
Away
54.8% (535)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Dvorak
Lazar
P1
58.7%
53.8%
P2
53.9%
50.5%
P3
57.2%
41.2%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |