Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Lazar 51.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Dvorak
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Lazar
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Dvorak
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Dvorak
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
51.4% (356)
+5.0%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
62.5% (8)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
47.2% (36)
+3.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Lazar
Home
55.1% (501)
49.7% (163)
Away
56.4% (559)
52.3% (237)
By Period
Dvorak
Lazar
P1
55.8%
46.9%
P2
52.5%
53.3%
P3
58.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |